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◈ Frontier Tech Wire
Quantum, AI and frontier-tech small caps — on the wire
Karl Lindström

Karl Lindström

Semiconductors & Hardware Reporter

Karl reports on the chip and hardware layer beneath frontier tech — foundries, packaging, photonics, and the supply chains smaller players depend on.

Articles by Karl Lindström

Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Aeluma Closes Fiscal 2026 With $582,000 of Fourth-Quarter Revenue, $56.0 Million of Cash and a CHIPS Letter of Intent That Would Hand Commerce Stock Worth the Whole Award

The Goleta photonics company reported on Sept. 16 that quarterly revenue fell to $582,000 from $1.3 million a year earlier while the net loss widened to $4.0 million, as it raised $20.1 million through its at-the-market programme. Its 10-K, filed the same day, says $183,000 of the year's $4.5 million revenue came from anything other than government contracts, and that the up-to-$30 million CHIPS award still needs definitive documents.

Karl Lindström · September 25, 2026
Illustrative photograph: an industrial manufacturing facility.
Chips & Hardware

Commerce Signs Its $1 Billion CHIPS R&D Award With IBM's Anderon. The Government's Release Runs to Two Sentences, and Neither Mentions the Equity Stake Promised in May

The Department of Commerce said on Sept. 16 it had signed a final CHIPS R&D award of up to $1 billion with Anderon, the IBM subsidiary building a 300mm quantum wafer foundry in Albany, N.Y. IBM says it is putting in a further $1 billion of its own. Neither document discloses milestones, a disbursement schedule, or how the 'minority, non-controlling equity stake' the Department attached to every quantum award in May applies to a wholly owned IBM unit.

Karl Lindström · September 25, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Quantinuum preprint reports a fault-tolerant architecture validated on its 98-qubit Helios processor

A preprint posted to arXiv on Sept. 2 and written up by Quantum Computing Report on Sept. 9 describes the [[20,2,6]] C4-Helix code running on Quantinuum's 98-qubit trapped-ion machine, with a repeated error-correction figure of 4.6x10^-5 per logical qubit per cycle. The results are error-rate and fidelity gains, not speed gains, and the paper has not been peer reviewed.

Karl Lindström · September 10, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

A Texas wafer house is now selling strontium titanate to quantum labs. Its launch contains no measured performance data

La Luce Cristallina's quantum-paraelectric STO-on-insulator platform ships today in 2-inch wafers, with 200mm promised for early 2027. The compound has a strong peer-reviewed cryogenic track record — but the record belongs to a different phase of the material, measured by somebody else.

Karl Lindström · September 9, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

NLM Photonics Adds Pangaea and Mitsubishi Chemical's Venture Arm to Its Investor Base Without Disclosing an Amount

The Seattle organic electro-optic materials company says existing backers also increased their commitments. It has published no round size, no valuation and no close date, and its terabit-class device claims are demonstrations and customer samples rather than shipping product.

Karl Lindström · September 8, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Novo Nordisk Foundation Sets Out a 5,300-Square-Metre Quantum Chip Plant in Copenhagen. The Release Puts No Price on the Building

The foundation's Friday announcement gives a size, an opening year of 2027 and a manufacturing scope, but no facility-specific investment figure and no qubit technology. The DKK 2.9 billion in the release is the foundation's total quantum commitment, not the cost of the plant.

Karl Lindström · September 4, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

IBM's Nighthawk r2 Runs 100,000 Circuits a Second - But the 25x Is Wall-Clock Speed, Not Qubit Quality

IBM's newest superconducting processor pairs every one of its 120 programmable qubits with a dedicated reset element, collapsing the dead time between circuit runs. The headline number is a throughput figure, and reading it as a leap in computational power would be a mistake.

Karl Lindström · September 3, 2026
Illustrative photograph: US banknotes and coins.
Chips & Hardware

SCREEN Holdings Takes On Neutral-Atom Optics for Japan's NEDO Programme. No Money, No Timeline and No Qubit Target Has Been Disclosed

The semiconductor equipment maker will jointly develop spatial light modulators and multi-wavelength objective lenses with the Kyoto University spin-out Yaqumo, under a Japanese state R&D project aimed at reducing reliance on overseas optical suppliers. It is a supply-chain agreement rather than a performance claim, and the parties have put no figures on it.

Karl Lindström · September 2, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Two Answers to Quantum's Wiring Problem, and One Headline That Had to Be Corrected

QTREX says it can route 17,280 coaxial lines into each stage of a dilution refrigerator, and reissued the announcement 36 minutes later under a stronger headline without saying what changed. Diraq and Equinix, meanwhile, are putting eight qubits and under 20 kilowatts into a live Sydney data centre in October.

Karl Lindström · September 1, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Xanadu and Mitsubishi Chemical Take EUV Photoresist Simulation Into Phase Two With Canadian and Japanese State Backing

The photonic quantum company said Canada's NRC IRAP and Japan's Strategic Innovation Promotion Program are supporting a second phase aimed at predicting radiation-induced blur in extreme ultraviolet lithography. No amount was disclosed for the new phase, and Xanadu's own US GAAP June-quarter accounts show a $42.1m net loss and $312.8m of cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2026.

Karl Lindström · August 31, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Marvell Reports Record $2.739bn Quarter as Data Center Revenue Rises 46% Year on Year

The infrastructure chipmaker's fiscal second-quarter revenue landed $39.0m above its own guidance midpoint, and it guided to $3.150bn for the current quarter. GAAP diluted earnings of $0.33 sat well below the $0.94 non-GAAP figure.

Karl Lindström · August 28, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Semtech Reports $341.9M in Fiscal Q2, $13.9M Above Its Own Guide, With a $101.4M Tax Benefit Behind the $1.59 GAAP EPS

Data-center revenue reached $100 million in the quarter and the October guide jumped to $410.0 million. But the headline GAAP profit came mostly from a tax line, and the company's FiberEdge market-share claim rests on no published third-party measurement.

Karl Lindström · August 26, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Semtech Reports After Tuesday's Close Against Its Own $328.0 Million Guide, With the Compal Sale Still Unclosed

The company guided to net sales of $328.0 million give or take $5.0 million for the quarter it reports on Tuesday evening. Everything else it guided to, including margins and earnings per share, was on an adjusted basis.

Karl Lindström · August 25, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Nvidia Reports Second-Quarter Fiscal 2027 on Wednesday Against Its Own $91.0 Billion Guidance, With the October-Quarter Outlook the Real Test for the Chip Complex

Nvidia set its results call for Aug. 26 at 2 p.m. Pacific for the quarter that ended July 26, 2026, according to a July 29 notice. The company guided that quarter to $91.0 billion in revenue plus or minus 2%, with non-GAAP gross margin of 75.0% plus or minus 50 basis points and no assumed Data Center compute revenue from China. An Investing.com preview dated Aug. 21 cited consensus of $91.9 billion and $2.08 in EPS, and an October-quarter consensus of $103.96 billion, without naming the firm that compiled either figure. Nvidia has not reported.

Karl Lindström · August 24, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Micron plans $10 billion over a decade for a Boise memory research campus. Averaged across ten years that is about one-seventh of what the company spent on net capital expenditures in a single quarter this spring.

Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU) unveiled Micron Research Labs on August 20, backed by what it calls a planned $10 billion investment over the next decade, with groundbreaking anticipated in calendar 2027 and a facility capable of hosting hundreds of researchers. For scale: Micron spent $7.084 billion on net capital expenditures in the quarter ended May 28, 2026 alone, and generated $18.304 billion of adjusted free cash flow, a non-GAAP measure, in that same three months.

Karl Lindström · August 21, 2026
Illustrative photograph: the United States Capitol building.
Chips & Hardware

Wolfspeed Closes Fiscal 2026 With a $149.6 Million Quarter and a Gross Margin Still Below Zero

The silicon carbide maker reported June-quarter revenue of $149.6 million, a GAAP net loss of $145.4 million and negative gross margin on both reporting bases. According to a transcript account published by Investing.com, its finance chief put the annual revenue run rate at which gross margin would break even in the “ballpark” of $800 million.

Karl Lindström · August 19, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

POET Technologies Doubles Revenue and Sits on $796 Million as Lumilens Order Anchors AI Photonics Ramp

The Nasdaq-listed optical-engine maker reported second-quarter revenue up 112% and a narrowing loss on August 13, backed by a $400 million raise and a $50 million initial order from partner Lumilens.

Karl Lindström · August 18, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Fabrinet's Record Quarter Held Two Nearly Equal Numbers: A $57.4 Million Thai Tax Charge and a $56.7 Million Investment Gain

The optical contract manufacturer closed fiscal 2026 with quarterly revenue of $1.316 billion, up 45% year over year, and non-GAAP earnings of $4.10 a share. Two of the items it excluded from that figure landed in the same quarter and almost cancelled each other out. The gap it has guided for the current quarter is more than two and a half times as wide.

Karl Lindström · August 18, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

AmpliTech Cuts Titan Crest Deal to $7M Days After Pulling Its $50 Million FY2026 Revenue Target

The Nasdaq-listed RF and microwave maker used a Monday release to recap a price cut on its 5G ORAN asset purchase and lay out a backlog and margin roadmap. It followed a Thursday earnings call on which management declined to reaffirm the FY2026 revenue figure it had restated as recently as May, the design package it is paying for has still not been validated for production, and the RFP it highlights has not been awarded.

Karl Lindström · August 18, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Coherent Begins Sampling 300mm Silicon Carbide Thermal Substrates to Unnamed AI Semiconductor Partners

Monday's 4:05 p.m. Eastern announcement moves the 300mm silicon carbide platform "from internal development to customer evaluation," in Coherent's own words. It is a milestone in a qualification process, not an order, and it carries no customer, no volume and no timeline.

Karl Lindström · August 18, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Semtech Is Selling Its Cellular Module Business For $62 Million. The Release Does Not Say How Big It Is.

Semtech (Nasdaq: SMTC) signed a definitive agreement on Aug. 13 to sell its cellular module business to Taiwan's Compal Electronics (TWSE: 2324) for $62 million in cash. The announcement discloses no revenue, no gain or loss and no headcount for the unit, and the 8-K index shows the report filed under Item 8.01 with the press release as its only substantive exhibit.

Karl Lindström · August 16, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

POET Technologies Booked $569,925 of Revenue and a $50 Million Purchase Order in the Same Quarter

The Toronto-based photonics company reported second-quarter revenue of $569,925 on August 13 and recapped, in the same release, an initial $50 million order from Lumilens that it first announced on May 14. Neither release says whether that order is binding or cancellable, or over what period any of it would be recognised as revenue.

Karl Lindström · August 16, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Fabrinet Monday, Analog Devices Wednesday: the week the AI hardware trade gets audited from the supply side

Fabrinet reports fiscal fourth-quarter results after Monday's close against its own guidance of $1.25bn to $1.29bn, with Nvidia and Cisco alone accounting for 45.8% of fiscal 2025 revenue. Analog Devices follows Wednesday morning carrying a very different signal: an industrial book that grew 56% year over year while automotive grew 2%.

Karl Lindström · August 15, 2026
Illustrative photograph: stock-market trading screens showing price charts.
Chips & Hardware

AAOI Closes Up 15.5% and Lumentum Up 5.2% in an Optics Rally No One Covering It Could Source

The reporter closest to Friday's move in AI interconnect names wrote that he could not verify a same-day catalyst, and neither could we. What the group did have: three earnings reports in the prior eight sessions and an FCC proposal that is still a draft.

Karl Lindström · August 14, 2026
Illustrative photograph: stock-market trading screens showing price charts.
Chips & Hardware

JPMorgan's $2,250 Target on SanDisk Is Still Below the Stock's Own 52-Week High

Harlan Sur resumed coverage of SanDisk at Overweight on Friday and the stock added another 7%. The number he is underwriting is an EPS line, not a revenue line.

Karl Lindström · August 14, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Applied Materials Beat, Raised, and Sold Off: The Flat Gross Margin Inside a Record Quarter

Applied Materials posted record fiscal Q3 revenue of $9.115 billion and guided fourth-quarter revenue roughly $700 million above consensus, then fell in extended trading. The guide holds non-GAAP gross margin flat at 50.4% on a 12% sequential revenue increase — management's ramp costs, in one number.

Karl Lindström · August 14, 2026
Illustrative photograph: an industrial manufacturing facility.
Chips & Hardware

Sandisk Puts a Number on the NAND Shortage, and the Memory Tape Reprices Again

Sandisk closed Thursday up 13.7% after an investor day that laid out margin targets through fiscal 2030 and a book of long-term supply agreements. Micron rose 4.2%. The rally is built on a supply forecast that management says stays tight into 2028 — a forecast, not a booking.

Karl Lindström · August 14, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Cerebras closed up 12%, then gave it back after hours as two versions of its revenue diverged

The wafer-scale AI chipmaker reported $180.1 million of GAAP revenue and $209.9 million of what it calls core revenue for the second quarter. The $30 million gap, most of it a non-cash customer warrant charge, is why the same print looked like a beat and a miss at the same time.

Karl Lindström · August 12, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Applied Materials reports Thursday with options pricing a 10% swing

The equipment maker guided fiscal third-quarter revenue to $8.95 billion give or take $500 million. Options traders are positioning for a double-digit move, and the smaller names in the wafer-fab equipment chain will trade off whatever the company says about 2027 spending.

Karl Lindström · August 12, 2026
Illustrative photograph: an industrial manufacturing facility.
Chips & Hardware

Applied Optoelectronics books a record quarter and says AI optics demand will outrun its factories into 2027

Datacentre revenue more than doubled and the optics maker guided to a sharply higher third quarter, but GAAP gross margin still went backwards as the company spent to add capacity.

Karl Lindström · August 12, 2026
Illustrative photograph: computer server and electronics hardware.
Chips & Hardware

Quantum Goes Vertical: IonQ's $1.8 Billion SkyWater Deal Puts a U.S. Chip Foundry Inside a Quantum Company

The completed acquisition of the largest exclusively U.S.-based semiconductor foundry marks a new phase in which quantum players are buying — or building — their own hardware supply chains.

Karl Lindström · August 11, 2026
Illustrative photograph: an industrial manufacturing facility.
Chips & Hardware

Quantum Computing Inc.'s Chip Bet Comes Into Focus: $5.6 Million in Photonics Revenue, Sold at a Loss

QUBT's second-quarter report showed a 91-fold revenue jump built on photonic chips and three semiconductor acquisitions — and a negative gross margin that shows how expensive it is to become a quantum chipmaker.

Karl Lindström · August 11, 2026